Tag: Alan Renwick

The Citizens’ Assembly on Brexit: reflections on the first weekend

The Citizens’ Assembly on Brexit: reflections on the first weekend

The Citizens’ Assembly on Brexit – a gathering of randomly-selected people who will learn about the options for the form Brexit should take – has just begun its work. The project’s director Alan Renwick (UCL Constitution Unit) offers some initial, personal reflections on a highly successful first weekend. Similar PostsThe Brex Factor: how a citizens’ assembly on […]

What would voters be asked in a second EU referendum – and would they get it?

What would voters be asked in a second EU referendum – and would they get it?

If – and it’s a big if – the government were to call a second EU referendum, what question would it ask? And would it be able to deliver the answer? In this extract from a new UCL European Institute working paper, Alan Renwick examines the likelihood, terms and outcome of any ‘second round’ vote. […]

The UK’s referendum and post-fact politics: How can campaigners be held accountable for their claims?

The UK’s referendum and post-fact politics: How can campaigners be held accountable for their claims?

Both sides of the UK’s EU referendum campaign were criticised for presenting misleading information to the public. Alan Renwick, Matthew Flinders and Will Jennings write that the referendum highlighted the inability of the British political system to enforce standards of factual accuracy in how politicians campaign. They argue that while legal or regulatory changes could alter […]

16 things you need to know about what will happen if we vote to leave the EU

16 things you need to know about what will happen if we vote to leave the EU

As the referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU draws closer, the result is impossible to predict. Many are asking what, in practical terms, would happen if we vote for Brexit. Alan Renwick explored some key elements of the withdrawal process before the referendum campaign began. Here, he gives a point-by-point overview of what […]

Can we improve the quality of the referendum debate?

Can we improve the quality of the referendum debate?

The Treasury Select Committee has said that the EU referendum debate ‘is being poorly served by inconsistent, unqualified and, in some cases, misleading claims and counter-claims’. Alan Renwick asks whether there is anything that can be done about this. He identifies a number of possible mechanisms for identifying falsehoods and enforcing truthfulness, but warns that there […]

Can we trust referendum polls in the UK?

Can we trust referendum polls in the UK?

The referendum on European Union membership is almost upon us, with polling suggesting a tight race. Here, Stephen Fisher and Alan Renwick look at how the polls have performed vis previous referendums and find reasons to expect a higher Remain total than the polls show.  Similar PostsIf the UK votes for Brexit continuing EU member […]

If the UK votes for Brexit continuing EU member states will have predominant power in exit negotiations

If the UK votes for Brexit continuing EU member states will have predominant power in exit negotiations

The EU referendum could be held as early as June so clarity is needed about what will happen in the event of a vote to leave. In this post Alan Renwick explains Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty which sets out the procedure for leaving the EU. Under it a second in/out referendum of the type floated by […]

Votes at 16 are unlikely to change the EU referendum outcome, but could have a positive impact in the long run

Votes at 16 are unlikely to change the EU referendum outcome, but could have a positive impact in the long run

The House of Lords has amended the EU Referendum Bill to allow 16- and 17-year-olds to vote in the forthcoming EU referendum. The issue will now return to the Commons, but what difference would such an extension to the franchise make? Alan Renwick and Barney McCay examine the evidence. Similar Posts16 things you need to know […]

The EU Referendum Bill raises important questions for the future conduct of referendums in the UK

The EU Referendum Bill raises important questions for the future conduct of referendums in the UK

The EU Referendum Bill completed its eventful passage through the House of Commons in September. As scrutiny begins in the House of Lords Alan Renwick and Robert Hazell assess the changes made so far, arguing that whilst new clauses preventing the referendum from being held on the same day as devolved and local elections are welcome, the […]

Was the 2015 election the most disproportional ever? It depends how you measure it

Was the 2015 election the most disproportional ever? It depends how you measure it

The 2015 election has been described as both one of the most disproportional elections ever and one of the least. Alan Renwick discusses the notion of electoral disproportionality and weighs up the relative merits of the different indexes that have been developed to measure it. Similar Posts16 things you need to know about what will […]